E-17: (Do You) Believe The Polls (?)

Polling averages have historically been very accurate in predicting the election outcome

Apr 10, 2025

∙ Paid

Here’s your election update for April 10, 2025!

We received two new polls from Liaison (LPC +3), and Nanos (LPC +5).

The Liberal lead has risen in Atlantic Canada (+2 since yesterday), while the Conservative lead in Alberta has dipped (-3).

The Liberals did lose some steam in Quebec, dipping a point while the Bloc and Conservatives both rose a point, cutting the Liberal lead there by two-points.

Let’s take a look at today’s model, other interesting polling, and a look back at polls from previous federal elections to see just how accurate they’ve been before!

E-17: (Do You) Believe The Polls (?)

Polling averages have historically been very accurate in predicting the election outcome

Want access to full articles, election models, polling deep-dives, and more?

Consider supporting Canadian content like this for as little as $5/month!

This post is for paid subscribers