Poilievre Hits New Low In Preferred Prime Minister Polling
The Polling Canada model finds Carney comfortably ahead
Welcome to your Polling Canada model update for June 28, 2025!
This week we had two polls, Abacus and the weekly Nanos update.
Abacus finds little change from their previous poll and suggests the Liberals and Conservatives remain highly competitive, sitting at 42% and 39%, respectively. The NDP stands at 7%, the Bloc at 6% (28% in Quebec), and the Greens at 3%.
Meanwhile, Nanos reports further Conservative slippage, with the party now at 31%, while the Liberals rise to 45%. The NDP holds steady at 12%, with the Bloc and Greens at 6% and 3%, respectively.
A separate federal Quebec sample from Léger this week found the Liberals at 44% (+1 from the election), the Bloc Québécois at 25% (-3), the Conservatives at 23% (unchanged), the NDP at 5% (unchanged), and the Greens at 3% (+2).
Nationally, the Liberals’ lead ticked up by one point this week. Their advantage grew in Ontario (+2 since last week) and British Columbia (+4), though they slipped in Atlantic Canada (-5), allowing for some Conservative recovery in the region.
(Mainstreet also released a poll late-Friday, after the writing of this article, so that poll will be included next week)
With that said, let’s take a quick look at the model this week!